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Indian brokerage industry to see record revenues in FY22

[ad_1] Broking firms are set to clock record revenues in the current financial year, driven by higher retail participation and favourable systematic liquidity. According to rating agency Icra, the industry is likely to clock a total revenue of Rs 27,000-28,000 crore in FY2022, registering a year-on-year (y-o-y) growth of 28-33%. However, the revenue growth rate is expected to moderate to 5-7% in FY2023 with an expected industry total turnover of Rs 28,500-29,000 crore.   The increase in the activity in equity markets since the beginning of the pandemic was driven by robust corporate earnings, favourable liquidity in both international and domestic markets, higher internet penetration, and retail participation, experts said. As of December 2021, the total number of demat accounts increased to 80 million from 55 million in March 2021. The net monthly accounts addition increased from 11.9 lakh in FY2021 to 28.33 lakh in the current financial year, while it was only 4.1 lakh per month during FY2020, said Icra in the note. Additionally, the average daily turnover also increased 126% to Rs 63.07 trillion during the nine months ended FY2022 against Rs. 27.92 trillion in FY2021.  According to an analysis of 18 sample brokerage firms done by Icra, companies have reported 38% year-on-year growth in revenues. Further, the cost structure and operational efficiency of brokerage firms have also improved over the last few years — with a major focus on customer acquisition through digital channels and improvement in economies of scale. Brokerage firm Motilal Oswal Financial Services reported YoY growth of 46% and 47%, respectively, in Q2FY22 and Q3FY22, whereas ICICI Securities saw its revenues scaling up 26% and 52% during Q2FY22 and Q3FY22, respectively.  However, going forward, in FY2023, the revenues of the overall industry are likely to see some moderation as the revenue growth rate is expected to taper to 5-7%, with an expected industry total turnover of Rs 28,500-29,000 crore. However, Icra expects growth to remain contingent on capital market performance and maintenance of similar yields as seen in recent years.  “We expect the markets to remain volatile, going forward, amid various domestic and international cues. While the transaction volumes have reported month-on-month growth, primarily led by the derivatives segment during the quarter, prolonged subdued capital markets could have a bearing on the cash segment turnover and other allied capital market businesses, which, in turn, could impact the industry’s earnings,” said Samriddhi Chowdhary, vice- president – financial sector ratings, Icra Ratings.  [ad_2] Source link

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New home sales are at risk with rising mortgage rates 

[ad_1] We finally got mortgage rates to rise, and for people like me who have been concerned about how unhealthy the housing market was last year — and it got a lot worse this year — it’s a blessing that was much needed. Recently, I downgraded the housing market from an unhealthy housing market to a savagely unhealthy housing market, something I discussed with HousingWire Editor in Chief Sarah Wheeler on our recent podcast. For 2020-2024, I set some critical parameters for sales and price growth, knowing that this marketplace will be different from the market we had from 2008 to 2019. This is why I always separate my work into those two periods. First, total home sales should be 6.2 million or higher during 2020-2024. This is new home sales and existing home sales combined. The demographic bump in 2020-2024 is giving us a push in demand. Second, because of the downtrend in inventory since 2014 and the demand pick-up we will see in the years 2020-2024, we had a risk of home prices accelerating too much. So, I set a five-year home-price cumulative growth level of 23%. If home prices grew between 0-23% in the five years of 2020-2024, we should be OK with where wage growth was going. The fact that the 23% home-price growth level has been smashed in just two years and inventory just collapsed to all-time lows has created the most unhealthy housing market post-2010. The only risk to that 6.2 million line in the sand has been this: Home prices grow above that 23% level: check Mortgage rates spike higher: check The two things I had as risk factors are now in play.  We have a risk to sales here, and the one area where we could be most in trouble is the new home sales sector. This sector on an apples-to-apples basis is more expensive than the existing home sales market. It’s also driven more by mortgage buyers who tend to be older and make more money than the new-home buyers. Compared to the existing home sales marketplace, it doesn’t have a high cash buyer or investor buyer profile. Today, new home sales came in as a miss of estimates at 772,000, but the revisions were all positive so there’s not too much going on here. The builders are struggling to finish their homes, and there is a risk to builders in a rising rate environment when you have people wait so long to build a house. Regarding the new home sales sector itself, it’s just an OK marketplace and has been for some time. From Census: Sales of new single‐family houses in February 2022 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 772,000, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 2.0 percent (±11.9 percent)* below the revised January rate of 788,000 and is 6.2 percent (±13.7 percent)* below the February 2021 estimate of 823,000. As you can see below, the new home sales market from 2018-2022 doesn’t look like the housing market we had from 2002-2005. Without exotic loan debt structures, credit always has limits, which is a good thing. Could you imagine this housing market if we eased lending standards? I would be protesting in front of Congress and speaking at congressional hearings if lending standards were reduced. From Census: The seasonally‐adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of February was 407,000. This represents a supply of 6.3 months at the current sales rate. My rule of thumb for anticipating builder behavior is based on the three-month average of supply: When supply is 4.3 months and below, this is an excellent market for the builders. When supply is 4.4 to 6.4 months, this is an OK market for the builders. They will build as long as new home sales are growing. When supply is 6.5 months and above, the builders will pull back on construction. Currently, the monthly supply headline is 6.3 months, and the three-month average is at 5.93 months. This is just an OK marketplace, so don’t look for the builders to be really pressing to build now, especially when rates have risen so much. They’re mindful of higher rates because in 2013, 2014 and 2015 they had to deal with a miss in sales expectations. Then in 2018, when mortgage rates got to 5%, we saw a supply spike in the monthly home sales data and their stocks were down over 30%.  As you can see below, the completion data looks terrible. It’s taking forever to build a home and that has created a huge number of homes under construction. The risk is that cancellations can rise by the time the home is ready for move in.  From Census: The median sales price of new houses sold in February 2022 was $400,600. The average sales price was $511,000.  As always, the years 2020-2024 were going to be different. The builders have pricing power that means they can push the price onto their consumers. Like home sellers, they try to make as much money as possible. The only thing we have that creates balance in this market is higher rates, hence why I am team higher rates. From the National Association of Home Builders, the builder’s confidence has faded recently, and you have to go with this data because it has been good historically with where housing starts and new home sales. Until you find a base on the data line, go with the trend. We no longer have the COVID-19 comps in play with the moderation in the data that needed to happen. Purchase application data Regarding the purchase application data that came out on Wednesday, some context needs to be discussed here. Purchase application data is down 2% week to week, 12% year over year. This data line has been negative year over year since June of 2021. A big theme of my work on HousingWire is to try to talk

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A Peek Into the Last Week (+ my goals for this week!)

[ad_1] I love this picture so much! It captures her personality so perfectly! I found this picture of the two older girls with Jesse at a Father-Daughter dance many years ago. This boy doesn’t want to sit back when we go on walks now. He wants to take everything in all around him! Almost to the third trimester!! I keep hearing from people who don’t follow my Instagram stories and posts closely who write in and say, “Wait, are you pregnant again??!” And I realized I probably should post another pregnancy update here! This has definitely been a pregnancy filled with interesting twists and turns. Honestly, it hasn’t been easy. I’ve been way more nauseous than any of my four other pregnancies. And months upon months of incessant nausea — first the first trimester nausea and then acid reflux nausea — well, it definitely stretches you and can wear you down. But I keep thinking of women who have HG and throw up multiple times a day every day their entire pregnancy or those who have debilitating nausea for much less exciting reasons and it helps me have a better attitude and a perspective shift. Any time I have a little relief from the nausea, I’m just so grateful — even if it just lasts for an hour! I’m trying to be super, super careful with what I eat and with taking really good care of myself and that does help at least a little. Another piece of the “adventure” has been the ongoing spotting/bleeding issues I’ve had with this pregnancy. First it was unexplained bleeding (in my first trimester), then it was my placenta, and now they believe it’s likely related to me having a low-lying placenta. I go back for another sonogram next week and we’ll see if my placenta has moved in the right direction or not. There’s a decent possibility I’m going to have placenta previa based upon how things are moving… but I’m trusting God and so grateful to have made it this far without any major emergency bleeding episode. I’m grateful that my OB has been so calm but also wise about everything. I honestly have such peace about however things turn out and what the next 10-12 weeks might hold. I’m trusting God for each day, praying for protection over this baby, and just trying to do a good job of resting, getting good nutritious food (as best as I can stomach it!), and filling my mind with truth/encouragement. So there’s a pregnancy update for the many who have requested it! Thanks for being such great cheerleaders and prayer warriors! My 6 Goals for Last Week Personal Goals Delete 1000 photos and videos from my phone. Do one extra house-cleaning project every day (follow along on Instagram for details!) Reading Goals Finish listening to The Last Bookshop in London. Finish reading Hero on a Mission. Business/Blogging Goals Write a post on 50 Things You Don’t Have to Pay For. Rewrite/edit chapters 1 and 2 of my next book. My 6 Goals for This Week Personal Goals Delete 1000 photos and videos from my phone. Do one extra house-cleaning project every day (follow along on Instagram for details!) Reading Goals Finish listening to When Crickets Cry. Finish reading Come Sit With Me. Business/Blogging Goals Write a post on 20 Ways to Save Money on Meat. Rewrite/edit chapters 3-6 of my next book. [ad_2] Source link

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iQOO Z6 5G: This ‘fastest 5G smartphone in its segment’ ticks all the right boxes

[ad_1] Gen Z and millennial consumers have grown up in the digital world. They are, by far, one of the most active groups in the mobile sphere. Ever wondered about what they look for in a smartphone? It’s the design/colour and multimedia capabilities such as internet browsing, music, video etc. The camera is equally important, especially the quality of the rear camera and that of photos and video taken in low light. Gaming, too, has to be top-notch. Let’s not forget, it is this group of customers who utilise the full functionality of their phones as their preferred device for most activities over tablet, laptop or a desktop. No wonder, many mobile brands are revamping their strategies to target these younger consumers. Take, for instance, iQOO. It has brought out a new device—Z6 5G—designed to appeal to this audience. The company claims its new offering is the fastest 5G smartphone in the ~15K segment, a lucrative market that has plenty of brands vying for market share, notably Xiaomi, Samsung, Oppo, Tecno among others. Will the Z6 5G click with the consumers? The all-new iQOO Z6 5G comes in two colours—Dynamo Black and Chromatic Blue, priced at Rs 13,999 for 4GB+128GB, Rs 14,999 for 6GB + 128GB and Rs 15,999 for the 8GB+128GB variant (our trial unit). Packed with an ultra-sleek form factor, the phone comes with 2.5D flat frame design along with AG finish. It weighs 186g and is 8.25mm thin, providing a sleek and premium finish to the smartphone. There’s a 6.58-inch 120Hz FHD+ display that displays 120 frames per second, a 100% increase in the number of frames for smoother graphics. The higher the frame rate, the shorter the screen lag time and the smoother the animations, making operating experience with high speed movement free of trailing or motion blur and producing more detailed, clear and impactful visual images. Inside, the device is power-packed with the Snapdragon 695 5G mobile platform that allows faster and smoother phone performance. For hardcore gamers, the phone’s 240Hz touch sampling rate is a boon; this helps in faster screen response time letting the gaming moves become quicker, smoother, and more accurate. The phone is also equipped with a unique 5-Layer Liquid Cooling System. Apart from this, iQOO Z6 also comes with the Ultra Game Mode that intelligently adapts the gaming experience according to the user’s preference. This lets the users switch between the three given modes—Power Saving, Balanced, and Monster Mode, helping them customise the preferences in the form of data including CPU, GPU, memory, battery, etc. On the camera front, the phone sports a triple rear camera setup with 50MP Eye Autofocus main camera along with 2MP macro camera and 2MP bokeh camera. The impressive 50MP Eye Autofocus main camera is designed to capture clear and crisp shots even if the subject is moving, without losing focus. Bottom line: The iQOO Z6 sets a high bar for phones of this price segment with its attractive design. It is a good mid-range phone with smooth user experience, plenty of power, competent cameras and long battery life. SPECIFICATIONS Display: 6.58-inch 120Hz FHD+ display Processor: Snapdragon 695 5G mobile platform Operating system: Funtouch OS 12 based on Android 12 Camera: 50MP + 2MP macro + 2MP Bokeh (rear), 16MP front camera Battery: 5000mAh battery with 18W FastCharge technology Estimated street price: Rs 13,999 (4GB+128GB), Rs14,999 (6GB+128GB), Rs15,999 (8GB+128GB) You might also be interested in: Samsung Galaxy M32, Xiaomi Redmi Note 10, realme 8 5G, Moto G40 Fusion [ad_2] Source link

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This global investment firm wants to become a non-QM rainmaker

[ad_1] Minneapolis-based CarVal Investors, a global alternative investment manager and long-time player in the mortgage market, has launched a real estate mortgage investment conduit, or REMIC, that plans to work with loan originators around the country to develop and acquire innovative nonagency mortgage products. The new REMIC, Mill City Loan Holdings LLC, will serve as a mortgage conduit for funds managed by CarVal while also developing relationships with originators to acquire “residential mortgage assets across multiple strategies,” according to a CarVal statement announcing the launch of the REMIC, which will do business as Mill City Loans. A REMIC is a special purpose tax vehicle that holds pools of mortgages and issues multiple classes of ownership interests to investors in the form of pass-through securities, such as bonds. REMICs are tax exempt under federal law, although the income earned by investors is taxable. “We expect it to be a challenging [mortgage] market from a volume perspective due to interest rates and credit spreads,” said David Pelka, head of RMBS business and a principal at CarVal. “However, we are optimistic on both opportunistic mortgage-loan acquisition opportunities as well as continued product evolution of non-QM — not just this year, but through this economic cycle.  “This is why our funds founded a mortgage conduit, Mill City Loans.” CarVal Investors is a major player in the investment management world, with a focus on acquiring, managing, selling and securitizing loans, including credit-intensive assets, such as non-QM mortgages. Pelka said his firm has invested more than $24 billion in nearly 2,000 loan portfolio transactions globally since 2014. CarVal, which also has offices in New York, London, Luxembourg and Singapore, currently has more than $11 billion in assets under management — including corporate securities, loan portfolios, structured credit and hard assets. The investment management firm and its affiliated funds also are active in both the residential whole loan and RMBS markets, with some 30 years of experience buying, managing and trading nonperforming, sub-performing and reperforming loans. CarVal has acquired $10 billion in whole loans over the past decade and a half, Pelka added, and securitized $5 billion in residential mortgages, primarily through its Mill City Mortgage Loan Trust shelf. As the mortgage market transitions from a refinancing-dominated cycle to one where rising rates move purchase mortgages to the forefront, Pelka said he expects many originators will be looking for more inroads into that purchase market, such as innovative non-QM loan products. CarVal’s new REMIC will act as a tool for providing liquidity for that evolving market, according to the Mill City Loans website. “Mortgage volumes overall will be under pressure as long as rates are high, increasing and/or volatile,” he said. “Non-QM will need to be re-priced to higher coupons as well, which will also impact volumes. “I expect it will be a challenging environment for originators,” Pelka added, “which is why we are excited to have Mill City Loans as a mortgage conduit to meaningfully partner with originators to offer interesting nonagency mortgage products.” The range of nonagency, non-QM mortgage products is broad and encompasses the self-employed borrower as well as entrepreneurs who purchase investment properties — and who can’t qualify for a mortgage using traditional documentation, such as payroll income. As a result, they must rely on alternative documentation, including bank statements, assets or, in the case of rental properties, debt-service coverage ratios.  Non-QM mortgages also go to a slice of borrowers facing credit challenges — such as a recent bankruptcy or slightly out-of-bounds credit scores. The loans may include interest-only, 40-year terms or other creative financing features often designed to lower monthly payments. Pelka said Mill City loans will be led by mortgage-industry veterans Trey Jordan, former general counsel at New York Mortgage Trust; Mike Petersen, a former TCF Bank executive with experience in capital markets and loan-portfolio management; and Kent Usell, a mortgage and investment banking expert who worked previously at New York Mortgage Trust and alternative investment firm Oak Hill Advisors. “We see significant opportunity,” Pelka said, “both navigating the current uncertainty, but also partnering with originators [through Mill City Loans] to develop meaningful nonagency mortgage products.” The post This global investment firm wants to become a non-QM rainmaker appeared first on HousingWire. [ad_2] Source link

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The Great Resignation: Why Millions of Employees Are Calling It Quits

[ad_1] The post The Great Resignation: Why Millions of Employees Are Calling It Quits appeared first on Millennial Money. Whether you’re an employee thinking about joining in or an employer curious about what’s behind this trend, read on. Since spring 2021, a curious phenomenon has been happening across America. Workers are quitting their jobs in droves, and there’s no sign that this trend is about to end. Dubbed the “Great Resignation” by Anthony Klotz of Texas A&M University, millions of employees are voluntarily resigning each month. Their reasons for quitting vary, but one thing is certain—the Great Resignation is having an impact on the U.S. labor market, as well as people’s lives. Whether you’re an employee thinking about joining in and quitting your job or an employer curious about what’s behind this trend, read on. Table of contents What Is the Great Resignation? Why Are Workers Quitting Their Jobs? Why the Great Resignation Is Really the Great Reshuffle Quitting for a Better Job How Can Employers Improve Employee Retention? Raise Wages Let Employees Work from Home Foster a Culture of Respect Focus on Professional Development Should You Quit Your Job? The Bottom Line What Is the Great Resignation? Also known as the “Big Quit,” the Great Resignation is an ongoing trend in which a large number of workers have voluntarily quit their jobs. It began in the U.S. in April 2021. That month, a record 4 million Americans left their jobs. That number has held steady—all told, roughly 48 million people called it quits in 2021. That’s a record number of job-jumpers. In the “before times,” fewer than 3 million Americans resigned from their jobs each month, on average. Fast-forward to 2022, and the trend is holding. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 4.3 million employees quit their jobs in January 2022. That’s a quit rate of nearly 3%. While some of the folks who quit are finding new jobs, others are deciding to stay out of the workforce altogether. You may also have noticed that the start of the Great Resignation—spring 202—coincided with the one-year anniversary of the initial COVID lockdowns here in the United States. At that time, businesses were finally reopening and more people became eligible for vaccination doses. Faced with the tough choice of staying home or going back to work, a lot of people chose the former. Why Are Workers Quitting Their Jobs? When the COVID pandemic first shut down the United States, a lot of people left the labor force involuntarily. In March and April 2020, more than 22 million workers were laid off due to businesses being forced to close. In addition, at the time, many women decided to leave the workforce because, with schools and day-care centers closed, they needed to stay home to take care of their kids. That trend of resignations started to snowball. And by the time businesses started reopening, a much broader swath of American employees decided they wanted to quit too. A recent survey by the Pew Research Center gave some valuable insight to why the Great Resignation is happening. According to the survey of more than 9,000 people who quit in 2021: 63% said their pay was too low 63% said they saw no opportunities for advancement 57% said they felt disrespected at work 48% said they quit due to child-care issues 45% said they wanted more flexibility when it came to hours 43% said their benefits—such as health insurance and paid time off—were unsatisfactory While some of the workers who have resigned have done so to drop out of the 9-to-5 grind and be part of the “Anti-Work Movement,” the majority have quit to find better jobs elsewhere. Learn More: Early Retirement Checklist: 15 Essentials What Is the Financial Freedom Movement? True Financial Freedom and How to Achieve It How To Make Money Without A Job Why the Great Resignation Is Really the Great Reshuffle The reasons workers cited as why they quit are nothing new. Historical data shows that employee turnover has tended to run high in the U.S. in recent years. What is outstanding about the Great Resignation is that so many workers are quitting at the same time. Some of it boils down to simple psychology—when a friend quits their job, it’s normal to start thinking how you could do the same. And when a co-worker quits, it’s not unusual to see others resign in short order—especially if working conditions are less than stellar. After all, there’s strength in numbers. In addition, having an empty spot on your resume during the COVID era doesn’t look so bad. Employment gaps used to send out a big red flag to potential bosses. Now many people have a “gap year” in their history thanks to COVID. But the Great Resignation has also caused there to be a number of job openings in the labor market. That may be an understatement—in fact, we’re experiencing a labor shortage. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, there were 11.3 million open jobs in the U.S. in January 2022. That’s only a slight decrease from the record number of open jobs in December, 11.4 million. This labor shortage gives workers more bargaining power for better pay, better hours, and better benefits. It appears to be working. Quitting for a Better Job According to the bureau, although 4.3 million workers quit their jobs in January, 6.5 million found new ones. Rather than dropping out of the labor force, people are changing jobs. And according to Pew, 56% of workers who switched jobs in 2021 report that they now earn more money, have more growth opportunities, and enjoy more flexibility when it comes to their schedules. Still, there are many folks who are unable—or unwilling—to re-enter the labor force, despite the many job openings. They mostly include workers in the health care, education, restaurant, retail, and hospitality industries—jobs that put them in the front lines whenever there’s a resurgence of COVID. How Can Employers Improve Employee Retention? So

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HUGE Savings on Skechers Shoes!

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